Synopsis:
Despite an upper level ridge and surface high pressure in control for the rest of the work week, fog will occur tomorrow. When that burns off and when the clouds move out will largely determine whether temperatures pass or fall short of the 80-degree mark tomorrow and Friday. Meanwhile, a large cut-off upper-level low currently producing severe weather in the Lower Mississippi River Valley will make its way NEwd throughout the week. This should lower temperatures and the formation of a surface low on Saturday will increase the chance for precipitation in the form of RAIN. Skies clear next week as high pressure returns and temperatures begin to rebound.
Models Used: 12Z Runs GFS & Hi-Res NAM
Short-term:
An easterly flow north of an area of weak upper-level divergence is bringing clouds and moisture into the region tonight. The moisture will allow for fog to form in the valleys. Tomorrow morning, the temperature should rebound nicely into the mid-70s due to afternoon sunshine and some warm air advection. If the cloud cover doesn't break up until late, the high will struggle to get past 80, but if the fog burns off quickly and the clouds disappear quickly, then we could break the record high of 82 set back in 1938 tomorrow. Aw for Friday, cloud cover increases ahead of the cut-off low. Temperatures should be near 75 despite the late clouds. Lows will remain in the 50s.
Long-range:
The cut-off low will head toward us, arriving on Saturday morning. A surface low will begin to develop offshore and head north-northeast, but it is too far off the coast to produce a lot of rainfall. Regardless, it will be wet and cool, but still above average temperature-wise during the week. Also, a weak cold front will stall to our north, but this feature will have no effect on our weather what-so-ever.
-Jaron Breen
Despite an upper level ridge and surface high pressure in control for the rest of the work week, fog will occur tomorrow. When that burns off and when the clouds move out will largely determine whether temperatures pass or fall short of the 80-degree mark tomorrow and Friday. Meanwhile, a large cut-off upper-level low currently producing severe weather in the Lower Mississippi River Valley will make its way NEwd throughout the week. This should lower temperatures and the formation of a surface low on Saturday will increase the chance for precipitation in the form of RAIN. Skies clear next week as high pressure returns and temperatures begin to rebound.
Models Used: 12Z Runs GFS & Hi-Res NAM
Short-term:
An easterly flow north of an area of weak upper-level divergence is bringing clouds and moisture into the region tonight. The moisture will allow for fog to form in the valleys. Tomorrow morning, the temperature should rebound nicely into the mid-70s due to afternoon sunshine and some warm air advection. If the cloud cover doesn't break up until late, the high will struggle to get past 80, but if the fog burns off quickly and the clouds disappear quickly, then we could break the record high of 82 set back in 1938 tomorrow. Aw for Friday, cloud cover increases ahead of the cut-off low. Temperatures should be near 75 despite the late clouds. Lows will remain in the 50s.
Long-range:
The cut-off low will head toward us, arriving on Saturday morning. A surface low will begin to develop offshore and head north-northeast, but it is too far off the coast to produce a lot of rainfall. Regardless, it will be wet and cool, but still above average temperature-wise during the week. Also, a weak cold front will stall to our north, but this feature will have no effect on our weather what-so-ever.
-Jaron Breen
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