Monday, April 8, 2013

Monday Night Technical Discussion

Synopsis

 

A weak cold front will push southeast across the state overnight and bring a chance for some showers and thunderstorms for western and northern counties. Warmer air will push back in Tuesday with another chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms across the northern and northwestern portions of the state during the afternoon and overnight. This pattern will persist through Thursday, as a cold front passes through Thursday night bringing scattered showers and storms across the entire state lasting into early Friday afternoon. Cooler air and drier conditions will follow for the end of the weekend in the wake of the cold front.

 

Short Term (Monday night thru Wednesday night)

 

A cold front will push southeast across the state overnight tonight enhancing instability and increasing potential for scattered rain showers and thunderstorms for northwestern counties. The 12Z NAM has the precipitation sticking around the mountains to the west overnight as the 12Z GFS has the precipitation falling across much of the state. Warmer air to the southwest will push into the state Tuesday and bring a chance for scattered showers and storms for western and northern counties during the afternoon and overnight. This pattern of warm air and scattered showers and storms during the evening will persist through Thursday.

 

Long Term (Thursday into the weekend)

 

Thursday will be the last day of warm temperatures, as a cold front will push across the state Thursday night bringing widespread rain showers and thunderstorms across the state lasting into early Friday afternoon. Both 12Z GFS and NAM agree with showers beginning in western PA around 00Z Friday. Cooler air and drier conditions will follow in the wake of the cold front for the end of the week and temperatures will moderate for the beginning of next week.

 

~ Aaron Herbert

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