Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Tuesday Night Technical Discussion

Synopsis:

 

As the cold front continues to move off the east coast, northwest flow and the associated high pressure will provide lower temperatures and drier air for the rest of the work-week. A weak cold front with little moisture will provide a chance of showers during the weekend before high pressure builds back in on Monday.

 

Short Term: (Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night)

 

Clouds will clear Tuesday night, as the upslope flow of warmer air off the lakes will die down with the winds. High pressure will begin to move into the state from the southwest Wednesday and a westerly flow with more sunshine will allow temperatures to reach the mid to upper 70's across much of the state. During Wednesday night and into Thursday morning a secondary cold front will move southeast across the state with little moisture predicted by both the 18Z NAM and GFS, as they keep most of the precipitation in New York.

 

Long Term: (Thursday through the Weekend)

 

High pressure will dominate with a northwesterly flow for Thursday and into Friday morning. Friday morning will be very cool and with the passage of the weak cold front, low-level moisture may be present and could help provide frost for the northern portion of the state. As the center of high pressure moves southwest and passes over the state on Friday clear and comfortable conditions will follow as the ridge sits over the region into Saturday. The 18Z GFS is showing a weak cold front from Canada dropping down behind the ridge on Sunday and providing the chance for scattered shower or storm. Otherwise, high pressure will begin to build back in from the north on Monday.

 

~ A.J. Herbert



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