Wednesday Midday

Synopsis:  Cloudy conditions have over taken the state, as balloon of moisture makes its way up the Appalachian Mountains towards the state.  Wednesday looks to be the wet day of the week, with cooler conditions as high pressure works in for Thursday and Friday.  Next shot of rain… Sunday.  On a side note, we do need the rain.  On average for the 1^st 14 days of November, Altoona should have about 1", so far this year: 0.04".  A very dry start to November in deed.

Short-term:  Looking just at current conditions and radar, we can predict that most if not all the state will see rain late morning and all afternoon and into the evening today.  Rain will be heavy at times.  The cold front that is associated with the precipitation will push through the state on Wednesday.  At the time of the forecast, one can argue that the front has already moved into the western parts of the state.  Thursday we will cold advect, with winds out of the Northwest, and a building high pressure from the south.  This will likely inhibit/slow down the lake-effect process for the lake-effect areas, but still cannot rule out any lake-effect shower or snow shower.  The Southeast will continue to see precipitation during the day, with it drying out later in the afternoon and evening hours.

Long-term:  Friday and Saturday, high pressure will dominate the region, leading to mostly sunny conditions and temperatures climbing slightly above average.  The real challenge comes on Sunday.  Another frontal system looks to make its way towards the state for Sunday, with it precipitation 1^st in western parts of the state, with increasing clouds for the afternoon and showers for the rest of the state overnight.  The front from this looks to pass through the state late on Sunday.  This is something to keep looking at, as this could change with future shifts.

Kept temperatures near previous shift.