Synopsis:
High pressure in control through Tuesday AM. Weak cold front heads through Monday. Another system hits Wed. and Thursday. High pressure settles to our south on Friday.
Models: 12Z Runs - best to use MOS, note the biases around cyclones for the middle of the work week.
Details:
Monday: Most of the precipitation stays in upstate NY. Some wind is possible.
Wednesday: Mild cold air damming precedes warm front. Initially a mix, the mix changes over to rain rather quickly.
Midnight Wednesday night into Thursday evening: Lake effect snow sets up as the low heads NE.
Other Notes: High pressure usually will settle to the north initially but a weaker high does appear to form to the south of the main highs.
-Jaron Breen
High pressure in control through Tuesday AM. Weak cold front heads through Monday. Another system hits Wed. and Thursday. High pressure settles to our south on Friday.
Models: 12Z Runs - best to use MOS, note the biases around cyclones for the middle of the work week.
Details:
Monday: Most of the precipitation stays in upstate NY. Some wind is possible.
Wednesday: Mild cold air damming precedes warm front. Initially a mix, the mix changes over to rain rather quickly.
Midnight Wednesday night into Thursday evening: Lake effect snow sets up as the low heads NE.
Other Notes: High pressure usually will settle to the north initially but a weaker high does appear to form to the south of the main highs.
-Jaron Breen
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