Synopsis…
Another shortwave will continue to pass through the area this evening, bringing with it a few scattered showers. Areas closer to the lakes will likely see the most precip due to lake enhancement through Friday morning, and some of the coldest locations may experience a little frozen precip mixed in. Following this round of dreary weather, the pattern will become more tranquil, with dry weather expected through the weekend, before the first in a series of potent storms advances from the west.
Near/Short Term…
Spotty showers continue across much of the state. With very cold air aloft, the typically cooler spots have already reported snowflakes, especially across the N-Central Zone. As the showers continue in these areas, we kept flakes in the forecast through tonight. Trough appears to have just enough oomph to keep squeezing out showers as it crosses PA, so we left in the chance of showers, even across SE PA to play it safe. By Friday morning, precip should only be bugging the Big Apple as PA enjoys clearing skies and moderating temps under a decent-sized ridge.
Long Term…
Ridge will dominate the pattern over PA through the WKND with SCT/BKN clouds being most common. Temps should remain seasonable, but winds will pick up as dry shortwave passes thru and be gusty for the college games on Saturday. Models agree on a general warming trend into the beginning of next week ahead of a developing storm system. Went conservative with high on Monday; with stronger thermal advection, could see even higher temps. We kept MON night dry as most models keep the leading edge of the precip out until Tues, but following shifts will have to watch the timing. Probably no dust storms. Jamba
Forecaster: Matt Mahalik
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