Synopsis:
A stationary front currently sitting across the central part of the state will keep clouds and showers around over the next day or so. It will eventually transition into a warm front and move northwards on Tuesday, bringing above average temperatures, along with a continued chance of showers through Wednesday. A cold front will sweep through Wednesday night bringing an end to the very warm temperatures but also a decreased chance of precipitation.
Short Term:
The stationary front currently draped across the state is creating a large north-south temperature gradient, with temperatures hovering around 50 in the northwest and into the low 80's in southeast sections. Thick cloud cover along with intermittent showers across the northern half of the state is also aiding in keeping temperatures down. Some breaks in the clouds is allowing the southeast the really warm up. These warm temperatures and relatively high dewpoints (upper 50's to low 60's) are creating some instability (CAPES of over 1000J/kg) and t'storms are beginning to pop up in southeastern counties as we speak. Scattered showers and t'storms will continue through tomorrow along with the impressive north-south temperature gradient. The front will slowly lift north as a warm front tomorrow night, resulting in well above average temperatures tomorrow night.
Long Term:
As the warm front continues to push northwards on Tuesday, strong warm air advection will allow for temperatures to really warm up, with all areas easily reaching the low to mid 70's, with 80's possible in many areas that see more sun. Wednesday will see more of the same, with very warm temperatures and the chance for scattered showers and t'storms. A storm system moving by to our northwest overnight on Wednesday will drag a cold front through the state, putting an end to the much above average temperatures starting on Thursday. The cooler air will, however, be accompanied by drier conditions, especially as we move into Friday.
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