Synapsis:
The atmospheric highway will remain on top of us for majority of this week as we experience, showers from Monday thru Wednesday. Sunday we get a break but even run the chance of a sprinkle or two. Monday a short wave will pass through, followed by a warm front on Tuesday and a strong cold front on Wednesday. Drumroll please…. The sun will return for Thursday with high pressure building in from the west.
Short term:
The meridional flow that we are in, coupled with the jet stream over us, is making April very wet, as we keep seeing storm, after storm, after storm. This concept is not going to change. Both the GFS and NAM are showing for Sunday to be the transition day with the skies remaining mostly cloudy. They both show a short wave running through the state on Monday, the timing difference between the two is around 3 hours, but still in the evening time period.
Long term:
After this short wave moves through, we still remain cloudy as a warm front from a storm system that is trying to get its act together makes its way through the state. This will spark off scattered showers during the afternoon and evening time periods. With this warm front, temperatures will spike above average, and with the partly cloudy skies, will go above MOS by roughly 4 degrees, for Wednesday. Later on Wednesday we are going to see a powerful cold front push through, at this time we can run the risk of severe weather, but too early to tell. It looks like the one factor that will prohibit this will be cloud cover, the more we get , the less likely we get storms. At this point the GFS is showing the 540 and 0 degree 850 line diving south once again, we say hog wash. The Blue/White storm showed all last week a trend for those lines to stay north and not invade us. We are keeping with that trend. High pressure comes in from behind the front and we (can you handle it?) sunshine for Thursday.
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