Synopsis:
A high-pressure system will be in control of the region's weather throughout the week. Warm temperatures and mostly clear skies dominate until the end of the week, when the next cold front to affect us sweeps through the region. This front will likely cause a drastic drop in temperatures, perhaps by as much as 20 degrees. However, precipitation is not expected to be significant with this system, and southeastern portions of the state may see no precipitation at all.
Short-term:
A nearly zonal flow across the country will occur for the next few days. The WRF shows no temperatures below freezing in the short-term across the entire state, although this must be taken with a grain of salt. One thing that is certain, though, is warm advection bringing an influx of higher temperatures to the region. There is a large chance of temperatures reaching the 60's for some portions of the state by Friday. Thursday night looks to be the first time we see clouds, as the 700mb RH values are remaining low. The SREF ensembles show a slight chance of precipitation starting as early as Wednesday night, but since the values were ~10-15% and the GFS did not agree, we neglected this when making our forecasts.
Long-term:
The cold front passing through on Friday will bring a sharp drop in temperatures, although it will only be back to seasonal levels. Still, the precipitation looks to be entirely rain at this point in time. The long-term GFS may indicate another warm-up coming at the beginning of next week.
-Burkely Twiest
A high-pressure system will be in control of the region's weather throughout the week. Warm temperatures and mostly clear skies dominate until the end of the week, when the next cold front to affect us sweeps through the region. This front will likely cause a drastic drop in temperatures, perhaps by as much as 20 degrees. However, precipitation is not expected to be significant with this system, and southeastern portions of the state may see no precipitation at all.
Short-term:
A nearly zonal flow across the country will occur for the next few days. The WRF shows no temperatures below freezing in the short-term across the entire state, although this must be taken with a grain of salt. One thing that is certain, though, is warm advection bringing an influx of higher temperatures to the region. There is a large chance of temperatures reaching the 60's for some portions of the state by Friday. Thursday night looks to be the first time we see clouds, as the 700mb RH values are remaining low. The SREF ensembles show a slight chance of precipitation starting as early as Wednesday night, but since the values were ~10-15% and the GFS did not agree, we neglected this when making our forecasts.
Long-term:
The cold front passing through on Friday will bring a sharp drop in temperatures, although it will only be back to seasonal levels. Still, the precipitation looks to be entirely rain at this point in time. The long-term GFS may indicate another warm-up coming at the beginning of next week.
-Burkely Twiest
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