Sunday Afternoon Technical Discussion

Synopsis:

Clouds are moving in ahead of a system currently over the Southern Plains. These clouds will thicken and bring rain to the state beginning after dark. The rain will move in from southwest to northeast, with all areas seeing precipitation by tomorrow morning.  Rain may be heavy at times, with a chance of thunderstorms as well. A cold front will sweep through tomorrow afternoon, possible changing precipitation over to snow briefly before ending. High pressure will begin to build into the region beginning on Tuesday, bringing with it sunny skies and seasonable temperatures through at least Thursday.

Short-term:

A fast-moving storm system will spread precipitation into the state overnight. Temperatures are currently above freezing state-wide and with a strong southerly flow they shouldn't fall much at all tonight, so expect all precipitation to fall as rain. A warm front will cross the region by tomorrow morning, putting the state into the warm sector, where heavy rain and thunderstorms are possible. Between the heavy rain and some snow melt, minor flooding is possible. The cold front will cross the state tomorrow afternoon, bringing cooler temperatures and an end to precipitation. Some areas, especially across the northwest portion of the state, may briefly change over to snow before ending. Skies will begin to clear tomorrow night, giving way to sunshine and seasonable temperatures on Tuesday.

Long-term:

High pressure should dominate our weather for most of the week, bringing nice conditions through at least Thursday. There may be a scattered snow shower moving through on Wednesday across the extreme northern portions of the state, but expect little to no accumulation. Our next system of interest will move in over the weekend, but it appears as though we will again be on the warm side of the system with mostly rain falling.