Synopsis:
A low pressure system passing by the state will leave lingering snow and rain showers through tomorrow. Otherwise, expect cloudy skies and high temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. High pressure will briefly build into the region this weekend, before another disturbance approaches late Sunday into Monday, bringing the opportunity for rain.
Short-Term:
The 000 UTC runs of both the WRF and GFS show the center of the low pressure system passing off the coast of New Jersey by early morning. The bulk of the nice precipitation swath wrapped around the low pressure system will remain well to the northeast of Pennsylvania. The ensemble mean of the 1500 UTC SREF pressure and precipitation runs for the NE shows some lingering showers tapering off as today progresses (the majority of the precipitation, albeit not a significant precipitation event, will occur into the early morning hours) over much of the state. It also shows some spotty showers passing through tomorrow, associated with a weak shortwave. Else, all model runs show high pressure briefly settling into place through Sunday.
Long-Term:
As the weekend progresses, a low is projected to continue to evolve over the Midwest. By Monday, the associated warm front should pass through the state, along with a nice swath of precipitation. It is too far out to forecast with certainty the amounts and timing, as there is some model spread between the GFS and WRF, but it could be an interesting weather situation early next week, especially with a slight possibility of thunderstorms on Tuesday not being ruled out.
No comments:
Post a Comment